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13th February
2012
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Once again, the responsible borrowers who didn’t gamble on real estate values, who acted responsibly, who didn’t speculate get the shaft, and the irresponsible, the speculators and the greedy get rewarded (“Md. joins national mortgage settlement,” Feb. 9).

And how are the banks going to recover this money? They will pass the cost onto the responsible customers and borrowers. The furor about robo-signing is a joke. Has anyone said that the “victims” did not owe the money? How is it that someone who owes money all of a sudden doesn’t owe it because of paperwork irregularities?

Every individual and every family that has lived within its means, honored its debts and lived within its budget should be infuriated by what is nothing more than transfer payments to the irresponsible, the ignorant and the greedy.

Thomas F. McDonough, Towson

I agree with this guy.

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4th February
2012
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Steve Inskeep speaks with Edward DeMarco

Saying he is “completely puzzled by the notion that there was something immoral that went on here,” the man at the top of the agency that regulates Freddie Mac has explained why he believes the taxpayer-owned mortgage company did nothing wrong when one of its arms, as NPR and ProPublica have reported, “placed multibillion-dollar bets against American homeowners being able to refinance to cheaper mortgages.”

Edward DeMarco told Morning Edition co-host Steve Inskeep in an interview broadcast on today’s show that Freddie Mac’s actions were “in the class of ordinary business transactions.” The “reverse floaters” in Freddie Mac’s investment portfolio, which as NPR has reported “brought in more money for Freddie Mac when homeowners in higher interest-rate loans were unable to qualify for a refinancing,” did not affect the agency’s efforts to stabilize the mortgage market, DeMarco said.

Instead, DeMarco characterized the investments as part of Freddie Mac’s effort to make sure it doesn’t lose money. And he said one of his major responsibilities, is to “make sure Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac undertake activities that don’t cause further losses to the American taxpayer.”

DeMarco is acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) — the agency that regulates Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

As we reported Thursday, two key senators “who have taken the lead on legislation aimed to help homeowners refinance at historically low interest rates,” are critical of FHFA’s oversight of Freddie Mac. One of them, Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer of California, laid much of the blame on DeMarco and accused him of not looking out for American homeowners who want to refinance at today’s historically low interest rates.

DeMarco told Steve, though, that “not only I, but my staff think of the average homeowner on a daily basis” and believe that their efforts to stabilize the mortgage market and prevent losses at Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are good for all Americans in the long run.

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4th February
2012
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Americans will have to wait a few more years for the housing market to return to “normal,” an industry expert said Thursday.

“We’re five years through a 10-year adjustment cycle,” said Doug Duncan, vice president and chief economist at government mortgage giant Fannie Mae, who expects the housing market to stabilize sometime around 2015.

The path to stabilization, however, will be fragmented regionally, Duncan said, primarily along foreclosure and delinquency fault lines. “Two-thirds of households underwater are in 5 states,” Duncan said, states which likely face more pain before any gains. “It’s a very regional issue going forward.”

As the impact of the housing crisis continues to reverberate through the country, the picture has changed. Where local and national housing markets were once virtually identical, they’ve now begun to diverge as employment prospects have changed in certain parts of the country.

While an oversupply of housing remains an obstacle for a housing market recovery, the lack of demand will be the more immediate issue going forward, Duncan says.

“There’s been a focus on the supply side, but no one wants to buy. The level of application activity has been flat,” he said. “From our perspective, it’s really a demand problem going forward.”

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The incremental improvement the market has seen is largely thanks to investors, Duncan said, who can circumvent the mortgage minefield and pay for properties in cash.

Only a significant improvement in the jobs picture—to the tune of 300,000 jobs a month—will help drive lagging household formation, which has been on the decline for decades now, and drum up demand for housing. “We’re expecting 150,000 [jobs added] tomorrow,” Duncan said of the Labor Department’s jobs report. “That’s not robust enough to dramatically improve the employment picture.”

How will we know we have a “normal” housing market again?

“I define it when construction returns to the level that would see additions to the housing stock to accommodate [demographic] growth,” Duncan said.

Until then, the United States will likely remain plagued by too much supply and too little demand for housing.

“The headline on housing is [there will be] a little bit of improvement, but this is not the year in which housing is going to break out,” Duncan added.

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4th February
2012
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CoreLogic has released its December Home Price Index (HPI) report showing that distressed sales home prices in the U.S. decreased 4.7 percent in 2011 (compared with December 2010). This year-end report shows that home prices continued the trend of year-end decreases, the fifth consecutive year with a decrease in the HPI. The HPI, excluding distressed sales, showed that home prices decreased by 0.9 percent in 2011, giving an indication of the impact of distressed sales on home prices in 2011.

The report also shows that national home prices including distressed sales decreased 1.4 percent on a month-over-month basis, the fifth consecutive monthly decline. However, the HPI excluding distressed sales posted its first month-over-month gain since July 2011, rising 0.2 percent.

The December drop in home prices follows a decline of 4.3 percent in November 2011, compared to November 2010. Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices declined by two percent in November 2011 compared to November 2010. Distressed sales include short sales and real estate-owned (REO) transactions.

“While overall prices declined by almost five percent in 2011, non-distressed prices showed only a small decrease. Until distressed sales in the market recede, we will see continued downward pressure on prices,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.

Highlights of the HPI include:

►Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were: Montana (+4.4 percent), Vermont (+4.0 percent), South Dakota (+3.1 percent), Nebraska (+2.5 percent) and New York (+1.7 percent).

►Including distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were: Illinois (-11.3 percent), Nevada (-10.6 percent), Georgia (-8.3 percent), Ohio (-7.7 percent), and Minnesota (-7.5 percent).

►Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were: Montana (+7.7 percent), South Dakota (+3.5 percent), Indiana (+3.3 percent), Alaska (+3.1 percent), and Massachusetts (+2.9 percent).

►Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were: Nevada (-9.7 percent), Minnesota (-5.2 percent), Arizona (-4.9 percent), Delaware (-4.2 percent) and Michigan (-3.5 percent).

►Including distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the national HPI (from April 2006 to December 2011) was -33.7 percent. Excluding distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the HPI for the same period was -24.0 percent.

►The five states with the largest peak-to-current declines including distressed transactions are Nevada (-60.0 percent), Arizona (-51.9 percent), Florida (-50 percent), Michigan (-43.7 percent), and California (-43.5 percent).

►Of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population, 81 are showing year-over-year declines in December, one more than in November.

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23rd January
2012
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TAMPA —
Twelve hours before he was stand toe-to-toe with three other Republican presidential candidates, Mitt Romney sat down with eight Tampa Bay area residents to chat about their problems.

As dozens of reporters clicked away on laptop computers and photographers tapped shutters, Romney held court this morning, leading a roundtable discussion of housing woes in Florida.

The former governor of Massachusetts who has been – or flirted with – the front-runner position in the GOP race said Florida holds about a quarter of the foreclosed-upon homes in the nation.

He sat down with selected homeowners, small-business people, real estate agents and insurers, all of whom laid out their tales of recession woe.

Richard Wood said he owned a title insurance company in Bradenton that closed down last year.

While some of his friends are looking at moving to another state, he said, “We’ve been exploring the option of moving to another country.”

“It’s tragic,” Romney said. “It’s just tragic.”

One by one, the participants told Romney about their problems. They told tales of bank bureaucracy that wouldn’t allow refinancing until foreclosure proceedings were started and real estate agents who had to close their offices because there was no business. And title insurance companies that went under because of a lack of home sales in Florida.

Mary Pinion has been a mortgage lender for 26 years.

“This is the worst we’ve ever seen,” she told the candidate.

The participants were chosen by local Republicans working on Romney’s campaign.

Todd Swift of Tampa explained how he began losing money in the stock market when the markets faltered about four years ago. He reinvested in real estate, buying two condominiums in Cheval. He sold one for less than what he paid, and is renting the other just to cover expenses.

“I never imagined I’d lose this much money,” he said.

Romney said there was plenty of blame to go around, from banks that wrote mortgages for homes and businesses that weren’t worth it, to government for being stagnant in helping the nation out of the mess.

He said that over the past 100 years, homes generally have increased in value about 1 percent a year. A decade ago, he said, it jumped exponentially. That spurred investment.

“It was a bubble,” he said. “It was going to crash. It was going to be a disaster.”

He said banks have to take part in the fix, by allowing people to refinance at lower levels and homeowners will have to realize their homes don’t hold the same value as they did six or eight years ago.

“It will get better,” he said. “This is a detour in America. I can’t say when it will be better, but I can see the signs.”

The discussion took place at the Sheraton Tampa Riverwalk hotel in downtown Tampa.

kmorelli@tampatrib.com (813) 259-7760

23rd January
2012
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